On paper, anyway, theIndianapolis Coltshave one of the easier schedules in football for this 2026 NFL season.
For starters, theColtswill play just four playoff teams from the 2025 season. Based on their opponents' projected win totals, the Colts' strength of scheduleranks ninthin the NFL.
ESPN's analytics have the Colts with the sixth-easiest schedule in the league.
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However, will that translate to wins? Perhaps not enough, with ESPN's projected win total for the Colts sitting at 8.5.
Mike Clay recentlywent game-by-game, sharing the win-probability projections for the Colts. In only seven of these matchups is the Colts' win probability greater than 50%.
These probabilities also highlight the very difficult start to the season that the Colts face.
Colts' 2026 win probabilities for each game
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Week 1: vs. Baltimore: 39%
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Week 2: at Kansas City: 31%
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Week 3: vs. Houston: 49%
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Week 4: at Washington (London): 58%
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Week 5: at Pittsburgh: 40%
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Week 6: vs. Tennessee: 76%
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Week 7: at Minnesota: 48%
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Week 8: at Jacksonville: 38%
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Week 9: vs. Dallas: 43%
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Week 10: vs. Miami: 87%
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Week 11: at Houston: 34%
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Week 12: vs. New York Giants: 60%
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Week 13: BYE
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Week 14: at Philadelphia: 26%
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Week 15: at Tennessee: 63%
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Week 16: vs. Cincinnati: 47%
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Week 17: at Cleveland: 57%
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Week 18: vs. Jacksonville: 53%
This article originally appeared on Colts Wire:2026 NFL schedule: Colts' game-by-game win probabilities